/
APOPHENIA

We see what others can’t.

This is the I-Spot.

—— hit the spot that actually moves things.

The formulation of a problem is often more essential than its solution.

ISSUE
ISSUE

He had no answer. He had the right question.

Big enough to matter. Small enough to solve.

IMPACT
IMPACT

He had a dream. He started with a bus.

The right thing, said the way it cuts.

IRONY
IRONY

He had the truth. He swung it like a hammer.

We begin

with the question.

Haste has a measurable price
— five findings.

Swipe

R01

ADMITTED

85%

of companies

admit they often solve the wrong problem.

Wedell-Wedellsborg, 2020

R02

FIRST MOVER

47%

vs 8% for followers

First movers fail far more than those who wait.

Grant, 2016

R03

FIRST IDEA

1 in 3

success rate

Push your first idea through, it rarely sticks.

Nutt, 1999 / 2008

R04

INCUBATION

+28%

more creative

Ideas given time to incubate beat rushed ones.

Shin & Grant, 2021

R05

META-ANALYSIS

r =.22

40 studies · 6,649

Problem-finding is linked to creativity.

Abdulla et al., 2020

The question, reframed
— and shipped.

Case Studies

14 Cases · 3 Categories

01-04

DEFENSIVE AI

Internal efficiency

Swipe

05-08

OFFENSIVE AI

Revenue creation

Swipe

09-14

AI TRANSFORMATION

Rewriting the rules

Swipe

Still start with the solution? Still jump to the answer?

The longest way round is the shortest way home.

Here is the evidence.

  • Wedell-Wedellsborg, T. (2017/2020). Are You Solving the Right Problems? HBR; What’s Your Problem? HBR Press.
  • Grant, A. (2016). Originals. Viking — first-mover 47% vs 8% (Golder & Tellis, 1993).
  • Nutt, P. C. (1999/2002/2008). Acad. of Mgmt Exec.; Why Decisions Fail; J. of Mgmt Studies.
  • Shin, J. & Grant, A. (2021). When Putting Work Off Pays Off. Acad. of Mgmt Journal.
  • Abdulla, Paek, Cramond & Runco (2020). Problem Finding and Creativity: A Meta-Analytic Review. PACA 14(1).

Proof — our own track record: 14 cases · 3 categories (Defensive 01–04 · Offensive 05–08 · Transformation 09–14).

So take the long way round.

(Turf)MVVMission・Vision・Values
Corporate Fortune
(Issues)
  • How to keep investing in exploration?
  • How to diversify the bets?
  • How to enter and exit decisively?
  • How to kill failures fast?
  • How to sense market signals?
  • How to control collective bias?
  • How to balance the portfolio?
  • How to read market timing?
  • How to widen external ties?
  • How to become the hub?
  • How to capitalize reputation?
  • How to open up to alliances?
  • How to withstand adversity?
  • How to keep strategic slack?
  • How to endure for the long run?
  • How to make the long-term bet?
(Turf)FINFinance
Corporate Finance
(Issues)
  • How to grow the top line?
  • How to optimize costs?
  • How to raise margins?
  • How to fix the P&L?
  • How to sweat the assets?
  • How to design leverage?
  • How to build equity?
  • How to strengthen the balance sheet?
  • How to generate cash?
  • How to manage the runway?
  • How to optimize working capital?
  • How to catch financial risk early?
  • How to design enterprise value?
  • How to lift ROE and ROIC?
  • How to earn the multiple?
  • How to forecast the future?
(Turf)MKTMarketing
Customer
(Issues)
  • How to find a market you can win?
  • How to differentiate?
  • How to sharpen the value proposition?
  • How to become the chosen brand?
  • How to raise awareness?
  • How to nurture leads?
  • How to win more meetings?
  • How to close more deals?
  • How to onboard customers well?
  • How to drive product adoption?
  • How to prevent churn?
  • How to manage expectations?
  • How to expand revenue per customer?
  • How to grow true fans?
  • How to spark referrals?
  • How to deepen the PMF?
(Turf)HRMHuman Resource Management
Recruiting
(Issues)
  • How to pick your talent market?
  • How to stand out as an employer?
  • How to craft your EVP?
  • How to build employer reputation?
  • How to fill the pipeline?
  • How to nurture and screen?
  • How to design candidate experience?
  • How to close the offer?
  • How to onboard well?
  • How to ramp up fast?
  • How to prevent attrition?
  • How to manage expectations?
  • How to support growth?
  • How to deepen engagement?
  • How to spark referrals?
  • How to deepen people-org fit?
(Turf)BPMBusiness Process Management
Business Process
(Issues)
  • How to standardize the work?
  • How to clarify who does what?
  • How to design the value chain?
  • How to measure the process?
  • How to cut the lead time?
  • How to decide faster?
  • How to execute priorities?
  • How to improve procurement?
  • How to reduce variance?
  • How to keep the books accurate?
  • How to detect anomalies early?
  • How to stay compliant?
  • How to make kaizen a culture?
  • How to build, measure, learn?
  • How to keep running in crisis?
  • How to reinvent the process?
(Turf)R&DResearch and Development
R&D
(Issues)
  • How to pick research themes?
  • How to invent from first principles?
  • How to link tech seeds to needs?
  • How to test ideas with prototypes?
  • How to design the stage gates?
  • How to keep lessons from failure?
  • How to turn inventions into rights?
  • How to leverage open innovation?
  • How to speed up development?
  • How to build core technologies?
  • How to co-develop with customers?
  • How to balance research and business?
  • How to prune the pipeline?
  • How to draw the tech roadmap?
  • How to unleash researchers' creativity?
  • How to solve contradictions inventively?
(Turf)SCMSupply Chain Management
Supply Chain
(Issues)
  • How to forecast demand?
  • How to optimize inventory?
  • How to prevent stock-outs?
  • How to cut excess stock?
  • How to select suppliers?
  • How to grow with suppliers?
  • How to cut procurement costs?
  • How to diversify sourcing?
  • How to see the whole chain?
  • How to catch supply delays early?
  • How to prepare for supply risks?
  • How to balance supply and demand?
  • How to prevent procurement fraud?
  • How to source responsibly?
  • How to run POs without a slip?
  • How to build a resilient chain?
(Turf)PRDProduction
Production
(Issues)
  • How to stabilize quality?
  • How to cut defects?
  • How to eliminate waste?
  • How to cut changeover time?
  • How to keep machines running?
  • How to control the process with data?
  • How to build a stop-and-fix culture?
  • How to avoid overproduction?
  • How to tap shop-floor wisdom?
  • How to keep the site safe?
  • How to raise productivity?
  • How to remove the bottlenecks?
  • How to pass on craft skills?
  • How to ramp up new lines fast?
  • How to build in cost targets?
  • How to keep the factory evolving?
(Turf)BRDBrand
Brand
(Issues)
  • How to define the brand core?
  • How to word the brand promise?
  • How to nail the name and logo?
  • How to keep visuals consistent?
  • How to craft the brand story?
  • How to build the brand world?
  • How to be the first name recalled?
  • How to design the associations?
  • How to polish every touchpoint?
  • How to make employees embody it?
  • How to measure brand equity?
  • How to win without discounting?
  • How to protect the brand?
  • How to revive a tired brand?
  • How to avoid overstretching?
  • How to evolve with the times?
(Turf)MKTMarketing
Promotion
(Issues)
  • How to grasp customer insight?
  • How to craft the message that lands?
  • How to move hearts with copy?
  • How to nudge with psychology?
  • How to create the reason to buy now?
  • How to measure ad impact?
  • How to refine with A/B tests?
  • How to pick the right channels?
  • How to stand out on a budget?
  • How to make it shareable?
  • How to design the campaign?
  • How to plan the promo calendar?
  • How to win at the shelf?
  • How to maximize promo ROI?
  • How to persuade without deceiving?
  • How to fix the leaky funnel?
(Turf)SLSSales
Sales
(Issues)
  • How to qualify the prospects?
  • How to uncover the real needs?
  • How to sell with questions?
  • How to sell with insight?
  • How to handle objections?
  • How to defend your price?
  • How to reach the decision maker?
  • How to advance the deal?
  • How to make the final push?
  • How to manage the pipeline?
  • How to forecast the sales?
  • How to systematize selling?
  • How to win the key accounts?
  • How to build a strong sales team?
  • How to learn from lost deals?
  • How to keep trust after the sale?
(Turf)LOGLogistics
Logistics
(Issues)
  • How to optimize the routes?
  • How to raise load efficiency?
  • How to cut the freight costs?
  • How to always deliver on time?
  • How to win the last mile?
  • How to design the warehouse layout?
  • How to speed up the picking?
  • How to eliminate mis-shipments?
  • How to track shipments live?
  • How to handle demand swings?
  • How to mix the transport modes?
  • How to design the network?
  • How to manage the returns?
  • How to cope with driver shortages?
  • How to improve with logistics data?
  • How to turn logistics into an edge?
(Turf)CSMCustomer Service Management
Customer Service
(Issues)
  • How to respond fast?
  • How to solve on first contact?
  • How to enable self-service?
  • How to grow the FAQ?
  • How to turn complaints into trust?
  • How to calm the angry customer?
  • How to standardize service quality?
  • How to measure service quality?
  • How to feed the voice to the product?
  • How to reduce the ticket volume?
  • How to protect the support team?
  • How to share support know-how?
  • How to create the wow moments?
  • How to make support pay off?
  • How to blend AI and humans?
  • How to be the desk they return to?
(Turf)FINFinance
Accounting
(Issues)
  • How to close the books faster?
  • How to keep the entries accurate?
  • How to never miss an invoice?
  • How to pay on time, every time?
  • How to simplify expense claims?
  • How to keep the paper trail?
  • How to nip fraud in the bud?
  • How to make the close error-free?
  • How to build internal controls?
  • How to be tax-ready?
  • How to be audit-ready?
  • How to automate the accounting?
  • How to de-personalize the work?
  • How to serve numbers to management?
  • How to show each unit's numbers?
  • How to make accounting proactive?
(Turf)HRMHuman Resources Management
People Systems
(Issues)
  • How to design the job grades?
  • How to make pay feel fair?
  • How to clarify the criteria?
  • How to reduce rater variance?
  • How to train the evaluators?
  • How to set goals right?
  • How to link reviews to growth?
  • How to make review talks count?
  • How to make promotion transparent?
  • How to differentiate the bonus?
  • How to handle demotions fairly?
  • How to embed the system?
  • How to benchmark market pay?
  • How to fit diverse work styles?
  • How to spot system side effects?
  • How to redesign the system?
(Turf)LEGLegal (Execution)
Legal Execution
(Issues)
  • How to draft airtight contracts?
  • How to spot contract risks?
  • How to manage contracts centrally?
  • How to vet the counterparties?
  • How to defend the IP?
  • How to act fast on violations?
  • How to keep up with law changes?
  • How to make legal everyone's job?
  • How to collect what's owed?
  • How to prevent labor disputes?
  • How to handle harassment cases?
  • How to prevent the data leaks?
  • How to prepare for litigation?
  • How to build an evidence culture?
  • How to work with outside counsel?
  • How to make legal a weapon?
(Turf)LEGLegal (Advocacy)
Legal Advocacy
(Issues)
  • How to prepare the negotiation?
  • How to design the landing zone?
  • How to walk in with a plan B?
  • How to talk interests, not positions?
  • How to expand the pie?
  • How to face an emotional opponent?
  • How to stand firm under pressure?
  • How to use silence and time?
  • How to pin down commitments?
  • How to put the deal in writing?
  • How to walk away well?
  • How to settle disputes by talking?
  • How to use mediation and arbitration?
  • How to mediate internal conflicts?
  • How to negotiate ethically?
  • How to spread negotiation skill?
(Turf)COMPublic Relations & Crisis Management
PR & Crisis
(Issues)
  • How to control the first hours?
  • How to apologize right?
  • How to decide what to say?
  • How to prep for the press?
  • How to contain the flames?
  • How to read social sentiment?
  • How to drill before the crisis?
  • How to build trust before you need it?
  • How to alert the inside first?
  • How to build press relations?
  • How to earn the coverage?
  • How to fight the rumors?
  • How to build the leader's voice?
  • How to rebuild trust after?
  • How to tailor the message?
  • How to manage reputation risk?
(Turf)M&AMergers & Acquisitions
M&A
(Issues)
  • How to know why you're buying?
  • How to source the target?
  • How to value the target?
  • How to find landmines in DD?
  • How to structure the deal?
  • How to avoid overpaying?
  • How to build in the protections?
  • How to plan integration early?
  • How to nail Day One?
  • How to bridge the culture clash?
  • How to win the acquired hearts?
  • How to harvest the synergies?
  • How to protect the goodwill?
  • How to know when to sell?
  • How to keep the deal quiet?
  • How to learn from every deal?
(Turf)NBDNew Business Development
New Business
(Issues)
  • How to find the job to be done?
  • How to verify the pain is real?
  • How to find the untapped market?
  • How to test with an MVP?
  • How to sell before you build?
  • How to turn beliefs into hypotheses?
  • How to sequence the tests?
  • How to decide to pivot?
  • How to land the first customers?
  • How to learn from early users?
  • How to find the unit economics?
  • How to test your pricing?
  • How to borrow the core's assets?
  • How to start small and scale?
  • How to beat internal resistance?
  • How to graduate to a real business?
(Turf)DATAData
Data
(Issues)
  • How to choose the numbers that matter?
  • How to unify the data?
  • How to keep the data clean?
  • How to build usable dashboards?
  • How to tell correlation from causation?
  • How to spot misleading stats?
  • How to know if the difference is real?
  • How to mix qual and quant?
  • How to tell stories with data?
  • How to turn analysis into decisions?
  • How to put models to work?
  • How to delegate to AI?
  • How to govern data ownership?
  • How to use data, protect privacy?
  • How to build a data culture?
  • How to face what can't be measured?
(Turf)GRCGovernance, Risk, and Compliance
Governance
(Issues)
  • How to balance offense and defense?
  • How to map the key risks?
  • How to prioritize the risks?
  • How to set the three lines?
  • How to make the board work?
  • How to check runaway power?
  • How to use internal audit well?
  • How to make whistleblowing safe?
  • How to cut misconduct at the root?
  • How to avoid rule inflation?
  • How to build self-discipline on site?
  • How to govern the subsidiaries?
  • How to set the crisis chain of command?
  • How to disclose honestly?
  • How to define the risk appetite?
  • How to make integrity the culture?
(Turf)LRNLearning
Learning & Growth
(Issues)
  • How to instill a growth mindset?
  • How to spark the will to learn?
  • How to nurture self-mastery?
  • How to give learners agency?
  • How to design growth experiences?
  • How to raise feedback density?
  • How to share the duty to develop?
  • How to make learning visible?
  • How to codify tacit knowledge?
  • How to circulate knowledge?
  • How to grow communities of practice?
  • How to preserve what we know?
  • How to learn as a team?
  • How to question the premises?
  • How to absorb outside knowledge?
  • How to learn how to learn?
(Turf)THKThinking
Ways of Thinking
(Issues)
  • How to reason from principles?
  • How to find patterns in cases?
  • How to borrow across domains?
  • How to leap to the best guess?
  • How to grasp what it is?
  • How to ask what it means?
  • How to test with evidence?
  • How to structure the problem?
  • How to see the whole system?
  • How to choose what to sacrifice?
  • How to diverge widely?
  • How to think sideways?
  • How to work backwards?
  • How to think in probabilities?
  • How to start from a hypothesis?
  • How to think about thinking?
(Turf)ORGOrganization
Organizational Foundation
(Issues)
  • How to clarify the mission?
  • How to share the vision?
  • How to embed core values?
  • How to define who we are?
  • How to clarify roles?
  • How to keep information flowing?
  • How to allocate fairly?
  • How to align the systems?
  • How to grow internal trust?
  • How to make contribution visible?
  • How to welcome dissent?
  • How to create belonging?
  • How to institutionalize learning?
  • How to adapt to change?
  • How to set ethical norms?
  • How to build resilience?
(Turf)LCKLuck
Fortune
(Issues)
  • How to take more swings?
  • How to vary your moves?
  • How to time your moment?
  • How to cut losses fast?
  • How to sense opportunity?
  • How to drop superstition?
  • How to bet on expected value?
  • How to be ready for luck?
  • How to widen weak ties?
  • How to become the connector?
  • How to bank trust?
  • How to catch luck from others?
  • How to bounce back?
  • How to afford the gamble?
  • How to outlast the game?
  • How to play the long game?
(Turf)PFNPersonal Finance
Money Luck
(Issues)
  • How to earn more?
  • How to diversify income?
  • How to invest in yourself?
  • How to know your cash flow?
  • How to control spending?
  • How to keep cash ready?
  • How to manage the money flow?
  • How to beat money impulses?
  • How to build assets?
  • How to know your net worth?
  • How to manage debt?
  • How to think in balance sheets?
  • How to get money-literate?
  • How to make money work?
  • How to see future cash flows?
  • How to define what money is for?
(Turf)ROMRomance
Love & Marriage
(Issues)
  • How to build secure attachment?
  • How to reveal your true self?
  • How to be attractive?
  • How to steady your heart?
  • How to judge compatibility?
  • How to read the signs?
  • How to see past infatuation?
  • How to loosen your checklist?
  • How to close the distance?
  • How to put feelings into words?
  • How to respond to their heart?
  • How to survive early friction?
  • How to commit?
  • How to keep investing in love?
  • How to rekindle the bond?
  • How to build a future together?
(Turf)FRNFriends
Friendship
(Issues)
  • How to open up to new people?
  • How to share just enough?
  • How to stay emotionally steady?
  • How to build basic trust?
  • How to notice friendly signals?
  • How to spot a good match?
  • How to befriend the different?
  • How to drop first impressions?
  • How to create shared moments?
  • How to listen and be heard?
  • How to respond with empathy?
  • How to repair after conflict?
  • How to keep friendships alive?
  • How to grow each other?
  • How to design your circle?
  • How to treasure old bonds?
(Turf)CARCareer
Job & Vocation
(Issues)
  • How to know your values?
  • How to grasp your strengths?
  • How to see your own tendencies?
  • How to find what drives you?
  • How to know what to avoid?
  • How to judge a workplace?
  • How to assess job fit?
  • How to read company culture?
  • How to face the job market?
  • How to make the final call?
  • How to avoid biased choices?
  • How to keep options open?
  • How to present yourself?
  • How to tap your network?
  • How to win the selection?
  • How to move through uncertainty?
(Turf)ARTArts
Craft & Arts
(Issues)
  • How to sharpen bodily sense?
  • How to perceive fine differences?
  • How to move as intended?
  • How to nail the timing?
  • How to practice deliberately?
  • How to turn feedback into growth?
  • How to vary your practice?
  • How to refine the mental model?
  • How to make technique automatic?
  • How to enter the zone?
  • How to adapt and improvise?
  • How to perform under pressure?
  • How to watch yourself objectively?
  • How to design your training?
  • How to steal from the masters?
  • How to create your own style?
(Turf)EDUEducation
Academics
(Issues)
  • How to believe you can grow?
  • How to build confidence?
  • How to manage your own learning?
  • How to stay focused?
  • How to train working memory?
  • How to think faster?
  • How to grow language skills?
  • How to think logically?
  • How to know what you know?
  • How to structure knowledge?
  • How to apply what you learn?
  • How to enjoy learning itself?
  • How to see it through?
  • How to study through anxiety?
  • How to plan your study?
  • How to learn together?
(Turf)FAMFamily
Family
(Issues)
  • How to stabilize the household?
  • How to make home safe?
  • How to keep life clean?
  • How to truly rest at home?
  • How to accept each other as is?
  • How to respond to family?
  • How to make home welcoming?
  • How to stop hurting each other?
  • How to stay honest at home?
  • How to keep showing up?
  • How to respect autonomy?
  • How to keep healthy boundaries?
  • How to deepen intimacy?
  • How to understand each other?
  • How to repair the cracks?
  • How to share life together?
(Turf)WLBWellbeing
Health
(Issues)
  • How to fix your diet?
  • How to improve your gut?
  • How to sleep better?
  • How to make exercise a habit?
  • How to control inflammation?
  • How to avoid the toxins?
  • How to reconnect with nature?
  • How to look healthy?
  • How to reduce stress?
  • How to stay connected?
  • How to bring back play?
  • How to find purpose?
  • How to judge health advice?
  • How to track your body?
  • How to face mortality?
  • How to make habits stick?
(Turf)HLTHealth
Illness
(Issues)
  • How to truly understand your illness?
  • How to name what you feel?
  • How to stop blaming yourself?
  • How to keep hope of recovery?
  • How to loosen rigid thinking?
  • How to ride the waves of emotion?
  • How to act alongside the pain?
  • How to own your treatment?
  • How to build trust with your doctor?
  • How to lean on those around you?
  • How to learn from peers?
  • How to shape a healing environment?
  • How to catch early warning signs?
  • How to rebuild who you are?
  • How to rediscover meaning?
  • How to weave your recovery story?
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